Directional Bias For The Day:
- The futures are lower
- Drifting down ever so slightly since 4:30 PM on February 15
- Odds are for a down to sideways day; watch for the break above 2345.00 for change of fortunes
Markets Around The World
- Markets in the East were mostly down – only Mumbai closed higher
- European markets are lower
- Dollar index is up. USD/JPY, EUR/USD and GBP/USD are down
- Commodities are mixed – crude oil, NatGas and copper are down and; gold and silver are higher
- 10-yrs yield closed at 2.450% on February 16 down from February 15 close of 2.502%; 30-years closed at 3.01%, down from February 15 close of 3.091%
Key Levels:
- Critical support levels for S&P 500 are 2349.87, 2338.87 and 2333.47
- Critical resistance levels for S&P 500 are 2351.31, 2358.24 and 2365.17
- Key levels for eMini futures: break above 2347.50, high of 9:00 PM on February 16 and break below 2336.75, the low of 11:00 AM on February 16
Pre-Open
- Pre-NYSE session open, futures price action is to the downside – at 6:45 AM, S&P 500 futures were down by -5.00, Dow by -41.00 and NASDAQ by -6.75
- On Thursday, at 4:00 PM, S&P future (March contract) closed at 2345.75 and the index closed at 2347.22 – a spread of about 1.50 points; futures closed at 2345.50 for the day; the fair value is +0.25
The trend and patterns on various time frames for S&P 500 are:
Monthly |
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Weekly: |
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Daily |
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2-Hour (e-mini future) |
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30-Minute (e-mini future) |
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Previous Session
U.S. indices closed mostly lower on Thursday February 16. Dow Jones Industrial Average was the lone exception, but it too rose by only +7.91 points.
S&P 500 made a doji candle stick pattern with a very small upper shadow and a relatively longer lower shadow. DJIA had a similar looking pattern. NASDAQ Composite’s doji candle had almost equal length upper and lower shadows. Transport gapped down but made a hammer pattern, which was also a harami candlestick. Russell 2000 made a pattern similar to that of Transports.
S&P 500 broke its streak of seven consecutive up days. It is up ten out of past twelve days. The intra-day price movement of S&P 500 was still less 1.00%. It continues to drift up in a narrow up-sloping channel since December 27. NASDAQ Composite is also moving up in a up-sloping channel since October 28. The height of the slop has narrowed since December 28.
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