Directional Bias For The Day:
- S&P Futures are higher
- The odds are for a sideways to an up day – watch for a break below 4190.50 and a break above 4207.75 for clarity
- Key economic data report due during the day:
- Beige Book at 2:00 PM
Directional Bias Before Open:
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Key Levels:
- Critical support levels for S&P 500 are 4200.34, 4197.59, and 4191.10
- Critical resistance levels for S&P 500 are 4209.21, 4220.32, and 4234.12
- Key levels for E-mini futures: break above 4207.75, the high of 11:30 AM on June 1 and break below 4190.75, the low of 7:00 AM
Pre-Open
- On Tuesday at 4:00 PM, S&P futures (June 2021) closed at 4199.25 and the index closed at 4202.04 – a spread of about -2.75 points; futures closed at 4198.50 for the day; the fair value is +0.75
- Pre-NYSE session open, futures are slightly higher – at 8:00 AM, S&P 500 futures were up by +2.00; Dow by +30, and NASDAQ by +4.75
Markets Around The World
- Markets in the East closed mixed – Shanghai, Hong Kong, Mumbai, and Singapore closed down; Tokyo, Sydney, and Seoul closed up;
- European markets are mostly higher – Germany and Spain are down
- Currencies (from two weeks ago):
Up Down - Dollar index
- USD/JPY
- USD/CHF
- NZD/USD
- USD/CAD
- EUR/USD
- GBP/USD
- AUD/USD
- INR/USD
- Commodities (from two weeks ago):
- Energy futures are higher
- Precious metals are mixed
- Industrial metals are mostly lower
- Most soft commodities are mixed
- Treasuries (from two weeks ago)
- 10-years yield closed at 1.615%, down -2.7 basis points from two weeks ago;
- 30-years is at 2.296%, down -8.8 basis points;
- 2-years yield is at 0.149%, down -0.8 basis points;
- The 10-Year-&-2-Year spread is at 1.466, down from 1.485
- VIX
- At 17.94 @ 7:45 AM; higher from the last close; above 5-day SMA;
- Recent high = 25.96 on May 19; low = 15.90 on May 28
- Sentiment: Risk-Off-Neutral
The trend and patterns on various time frames for S&P 500:
Monthly |
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Weekly: |
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Daily |
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2-Hour (E-mini futures) |
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30-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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15-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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Previous Session
Major U.S. indices closed mostly higher on Tuesday, June 1, the day after Memorial Day weekend, in mixed volume. S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite closed down. S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average traded in lower volume. The day’s range was small and the indices mostly made bearish or reversal candles.
From Briefing.com:
The S&P 500 declined 0.1% on Tuesday after starting with a 0.7% gain and finding resistance at its all-time highs from last month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (+0.1%) and Nasdaq Composite (-0.1%) also closed little changed and off early highs, while the Russell 2000 rose 1.1%. […] The S&P 500 energy sector (+3.9%) stood atop the sector leaderboard with a 4% gain, further supported by higher oil prices ($67.79/bbl, +1.47, +2.2%) and a decision from OPEC+ to gradually ease current supply cuts.
The real estate (+1.7%), materials (+1.4%), financials (+0.7%), and industrials (+0.4%) sectors also closed higher.
[…]Conversely, the health care sector (-1.6%) underperformed with a 1.6% decline, yet it was the information technology sector (-0.4%) that exerted the influential weakness.
[…]The 10-yr yield increased three basis points to 1.62% while the 2-yr yield increased one basis point to 0.15%. The U.S. Dollar Index decreased 0.2% to 89.89.
[…][…]
- The ISM Manufacturing Index for May moved up to 61.2% (Briefing.com consensus 61.0%) from 60.7% in April. A number above 50.0% connotes an expansion in manufacturing activity. May marked the twelfth straight month of expansion.
- […]
- Total construction spending increased 0.2% m/m in April (Briefing.com consensus 0.5%) following an upwardly revised 1.0% increase (from 0.2%) in March. Total private construction rose 0.4% m/m while total public construction spending decreased 0.6%.
- […]
- The final IHS Market Manufacturing PMI for April checked in at 62.1%, up from 61.5% in the preliminary reading.
- Russell 2000 +16.2% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average +13.0% YTD
- S&P 500 +11.9% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite +6.6% YTD
Overseas:
- Europe: DAX +1.0%, FTSE +0.8%, CAC +0.7%
- Asia: Nikkei -0.2%, Hang Seng +1.2%, Shanghai +0.3%
Commodities:
- Crude Oil +1.53 @ 67.91
- Nat Gas +0.12 @ 3.10
- Gold +0.70 @ 1904.80
- Silver +0.14 @ 28.11
- Copper -0.03 @ 4.65
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