Directional Bias For The Day:
- S&P Futures are lower;
- The odds are for a down day – watch for a break above 4524.00 for a change of fortunes
- Key economic data report due during the day:
- JOLTS Jobs Openings ( 10.03M est.; prev. 10.07M) at 10:00 AM
- Beige Book at 2:00 PM
Directional Bias Before Open:
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Key Levels:
- Critical support levels for S&P 500 are 4513.00, 4505.85, and 4487.62
- Critical resistance levels for S&P 500 are 4524.22, 4529.26, and 4537.36
- Key levels for E-mini futures: break above 4524.50, the high of 10:00 PM and break below 4503.50, the low of 5:00 AM
Pre-Open
- On Tuesday at 4:00 PM, S&P futures (September 2021) closed at 4519.00 and the index closed at 4520.03 – a spread of about -1.00 points; futures closed at 4519.25 for the day; the fair value is -0.25
- Pre-NYSE session open, futures are lower – at 8:00 AM, S&P 500 futures were down by -5.25; Dow by -46; and NASDAQ by -10.25
Markets Around The World
- Markets in the East closed mostly lower – Tokyo closed higher
- European markets are lower
- Currencies (from two weeks ago):
Up Down - EUR/USD
- GBP/USD
- USD/JPY
- USD/CHF
- AUD/USD
- NZD/USD
- USD/CAD
- Dollar index
- INR/USD
- Commodities (from two weeks ago):
- Energy futures are higher
- Precious metals are mixed
- Industrial metals are mostly higher
- Most soft commodities are mixed
- Treasuries (from two weeks ago)
- 10-years yield closed at 1.370%, up +8.0 basis points from two weeks ago;
- 30-years is at 1.984%, up +7.7 basis points;
- 2-years yield is at 0.224%, down -0.6 basis points;
- The 10-Year-&-2-Year spread is at 1.146, up from 1.060
- VIX
- At 18.50 @ 6:45 AM; up from the last close; above 5-day SMA;
- Recent high = 24.74 on August 19; low = 15.19 on August 13
- Sentiment: Risk-Off
The trend and patterns on various time frames for S&P 500:
Monthly |
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Weekly: |
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Daily |
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2-Hour (E-mini futures) |
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30-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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15-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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Previous Session
Major U.S. indices closed mostly lower on Tuesday, September 7 in mostly higher volume. NASDAQ Composite advanced and made all-time highs in lower volume.
Only one S&P sector – Energy – closed up. Consumer Discretionary, Real Estate, and Telecom closed unchanged and all others closed lower.
From Briefing.com:
The Nasdaq Composite (+0.1%) eked out intraday and closing record highs on Tuesday, while the S&P 500 (-0.3%), Dow Jones Industrial Average (-0.8%), and Russell 2000 (-0.7%) closed lower, as investors leaned defensively into the mega-cap stocks. […] Declining issues outpaced advancing issues by a 2:1 margin at the NYSE, the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP 155.57, -1.31, -0.8%) declined 0.8%, and eight of the 11 S&P 500 sectors closed in negative territory. The industrials (-1.8%), utilities (-1.4%), and real estate (-1.1%) sectors lost more than 1.0%.
[…]The mega-caps lifted the S&P 500 information technology (+0.03%), consumer discretionary (+0.4%), and communication services (+0.5%) sectors into positive territory.
[…]The 10-yr yield increased five basis points to 1.37% while the 2-yr yield increased one basis point to 0.21%. The U.S. Dollar Index advanced 0.6% to 92.55, which was another example of the defensive mindset in the market.
[…]
- S&P 500 +20.3% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite +19.3% YTD
- Russell 2000 +15.2% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average +14.7% YTD
Overseas:
- Europe: DAX -0.6%, FTSE -0.5%, CAC -0.3%
- Asia: Nikkei +0.9%, Hang Seng +0.7%, Shanghai +1.5%
Commodities:
- Crude Oil -0.77 @ 68.38
- Nat Gas -0.12 @ 4.58
- Gold -33.90 @ 1799.80
- Silver -0.37 @ 24.42
- Copper -0.06 @ 4.28
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