Directional Bias For The Day:
- S&P Futures are higher at 8:15 AM; retreating from the day’s high of 4712.00 at 6:45 AM
- The odds are for an up day with a good chance of sideways to down move from pre-open levels around 4695.00 – watch for a break below 4681.25 for a change of sentiments
- Key economic data report due during the day:
- JoLTS Job Openings ( 10.45M est.; prev. 10.44M) at 10:00 AM
- 10-Yr Bond Auction at 1:01 PM
Directional Bias Before Open:
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Key Levels:
- Critical support levels for S&P 500 are 4687.42, 4668.29, and 4654.69
- Critical resistance levels for S&P 500 are 4702.87, 4722.04, and 4731.99
- Key levels for E-mini futures: break above 4712.00, the high of 6:45 AM and break below 4681.25, the low of 6:00 AM
Pre-Open
- On Tuesday at 4:00 PM, S&P futures (December 2021) closed at 4686.25 and the index closed at 4686.75 – a spread of about -0.50 points; futures closed at 4685.00 for the day; the fair value is +1.25
- Pre-NYSE session open, futures are higher – at 7:45 AM, S&P 500 futures were up by +8.00; Dow by +55; and NASDAQ by +41.00
Markets Around The World
- Markets in the East closed mostly higher – Singapore closed lower
- European markets are mostly lower – the UK and Switzerland are down
- Currencies (Compared to two weeks ago):
Up Down - EUR/USD
- INR/USD
- Dollar index
- GBP/USD
- USD/JPY
- USD/CHF
- AUD/USD
- USD/CAD
- NZD/USD
- Commodities (Compared to two weeks ago):
- Energy futures are lower
- Precious metals are mixed
- Industrial metals are lower
- Soft commodities are mostly lower
- Treasuries (Compared to two weeks ago)
- 10-years yield closed at 1.480%, down -18.7 basis points from two weeks ago;
- 30-years is at 1.796%, down -22.7 basis points;
- 2-years yield is at 0.696%, up +12.2 basis points;
- The 10-Year-&-2-Year spread is at 0.784, down from 1.093
- The 30-Year-&-10-Year spread is at 0.316, down from 0.356
- VIX
- At 21.88 @ 7:45 AM; down from the last close; below 5-day SMA;
- Recent high = 35.32 on December 3; low = 16.03 on November 16
- Sentiment: Risk-On
The trend and patterns on various time frames for S&P 500:
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Weekly: |
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Daily |
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2-Hour (E-mini futures) |
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30-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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15-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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Previous Session
Major U.S. indices closed higher on Tuesday, December 7, in mixed volume. Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 traded in higher volume. Major indices gapped up at the open and then mostly traded higher for the rest of the day.
From Briefing.com:
The major averages built on their gains from Monday with the S&P 500 (+2.1%) jumping to within 60 points of its record high from two weeks ago. The Nasdaq (+3.0%) outperformed after lagging yesterday while the Dow (+1.4%) finished behind the benchmark index after showing relative strength on Monday. […] All eleven sectors ended in the green with nine groups recording gains of 1.0% or more. Top-weighted technology (+3.5%) held the lead throughout the day while energy (+2.3%) and consumer discretionary (+2.4%) finished in the next two spots.
[…]Treasuries retreated, sending the 10-yr yield higher by five basis points to 1.48% with its 200-day moving average (1.493%) looming just above.
[…][…]
- The October Trade Balance Report showed a narrowing in the deficit to $67.1 billion (Briefing.com consensus -$66.8 billion) from a downwardly revised $81.4 billion (from $80.9 billion) in September, with exports up $16.8 billion and imports up $2.5 billion from September levels.
- […]
- The revised Q3 Productivity and Unit Labor Costs report showed productivity being revised down to -5.2% (Briefing.com consensus -4.9%) from the advance estimate of -5.0%. That is the largest decline in productivity since the second quarter of 1960. Unit labor costs were revised up to 9.6% (Briefing.com consensus 8.2%) from 8.3%.
- […]
- Consumer credit increased by $16.9 bln in October after increasing a downwardly revised $27.8 bln (from $29.9 bln) in September.
- S&P 500 +24.8% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite +21.7% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average +16.7% YTD
- Russell 2000 +14.1% YTD
Overseas:
- Europe: DAX +2.8%, FTSE +1.5%, CAC +2.9%
- Asia: Nikkei +1.9%, Hang Seng +2.7%, Shanghai +0.2%
Commodities:
- Crude Oil +2.23 @ 71.96
- Nat Gas +0.03 @ 3.72
- Gold +4.60 @ 1785.20
- Silver +0.25 @ 22.55
- Copper unch @ 4.34
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