Relative Strength Analysis and Changing Market Leadership

The current bull market, which started in March 2020, is beginning another leg up, but the market leadership has changed slightly. The discretionary sectors are now doing better than the defensive sectors. Small caps and transports are getting to the market leadership position. It behooves to change the portfolio mix, and it is time to get overweight on the leading sectors and underweight on the lagging sectors.

Business Cycle and Sector Rotation

Some business sectors perform better during certain stages of an economic cycle and some during others. To take advantage of these regularly occurring business and economic fluctuations, we need to know when a sector typically outperforms and when it underperforms. The Business Cycle model tells us when an industrial sector has a greater probability of outperforming the market. The sector rotation approach guides us in taking money out of underperforming sectors and putting it into outperforming sectors.