Directional Bias For The Day:
- S&P Futures are volatile due to Non-Farm Payroll; mostly sideways since 4:00 PM on Thursday
- Odds are for a down day; Volatile day; watch for break above 2910.25 and below 2897.25 for more clarity
- Key economic data due:
- Non-Farm Employment Change (134K vs. 185K est.) at 8:30 AM
- Unemployment Rate (3.7% vs. 3.8% est.) at 8:30 AM
- Average Hourly Earnings (0.3% vs. 0.3% est.) at 8:30 AM
Markets Around The World
- Markets in the East closed mostly down – Sydney was up; Shanghai was closed
- European markets are down
- Currencies:
Up Down - Dollar index
- GBP/USD
- USD/JPY
- USD/CHF
- USD/INR
- EUR/USD
- AUD/USD
- NZD/USD
- USD/CAD
- Commodities:
Up Down - Crude Oil
- NatGas
- Gold
- Silver
- Platinum
- Palladium
- Sugar (Unch.)
- Coffee
- Cotton
- Cocoa
- Copper
- Bonds
- 10-yrs yield is at 3.204%, up from October 4 close of 3.197%;
- 30-years is at 3.366%, up from 3.347%
- 2-years yield is at 2.893%, up from 2.868%
- The 10-Year-&-2-Year spread is at 0.311, down from 0.329
Key Levels:
- Critical support levels for S&P 500 are 2893.68. 2883.29 and 2879.20
- Critical resistance levels for S&P 500 are 2903.72, 2908.70 and 2911.24
- Key levels for eMini futures: break above 2910.25, the high of 7:00 AM and break below 2900.75, the low of 4:30 AM
Pre-Open
- On Thursday, at 4:00 PM, S&P future (December contract) closed at 2906.25 and the index closed at 2901.61 – a spread of about +4.75 points; futures closed at 2907.75 for the day; the fair value is -1.50
- Pre-NYSE session open, futures price action is to the downside – at 8:00 AM, S&P 500 futures were down -3.00; Dow by -18.00; and NASDAQ by -16.25
Directional Bias Before Open
- Weekly: Uptrend
- Daily: Uptrend Under Pressure
- 120-Min: Side-Down
- 30-Min: Down
- 15-Min: Down-Side
- 6-Min: Down-Side
The trend and patterns on various time frames for S&P 500 are:
Monthly |
|
Weekly: |
|
Daily |
|
2-Hour (e-mini future) |
|
30-Minute (e-mini future) |
|
15-Minute (e-mini future) |
|
Previous Session
Major U.S. indices closed lower on Thursday October 4 after a gap-down open. Most did not reach the opening high. Dow Jones Transportation Average was the exception. The volume was high for all except DJT. Rising yields played a big part is day’s decline.
From Briefing.com:
A robust economic outlook, underlined by Wednesday’s stronger-than-expected ADP Employment Change report for September — which is a prelude to Friday’s consequential nonfarm payrolls reading — helped ignite the Treasury sell-off, thereby increasing yields. The yield on the benchmark 10-yr note climbed another four basis points on Thursday to 3.20% and is now up 16 basis points since Tuesday.
- S&P 500 Sectors
Sector | Daily Trend | Relative Strength (Last Month) | Relative Strength (Current Month) |
Consumer Discretionary | Down (Break below trading zone – 114.80) | XLY | SPY |
Consumer Staples | Side (Break Down Support = 53.49) | SPY | SPY |
Energy | Up (From Side) | SPY | XLE |
Materials | Side | SPY | XLB |
Industrials | Up-Side | XLI | XLI |
Finance | Side | SPY | XLF |
Technology | Up (Under Pressure) | XLK | SPY |
Utility | Up-Side | SPY | XLU |
Heath Care | Up (under Pressure) | XLV | SPY |
Real Estate | Down | SPY | SPY |
Telecom | Side | XTL | SPY |
You must be logged in to post a comment.