Directional Bias For The Day:
- S&P Futures are higher; moving higher since 1:30 PM on October 30
- Odds are for an up and choppy day with elevated volatility – watch for break below 2696.25 for change of fortune
- Key economic data due:
- ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (27K vs. 188K est.) at 8:15 AM
- Employment Cost Index (0.8% vs. 0.7% est.) at 8:30 AM
- Chicago PMI (est. 60.1) at 9:45 AM
Markets Around The World
- Markets in the East closed higher
- European markets are higher
- Currencies:
Up Down - GBP/USD
- USD/CAD
- USD/INR
- Dollar index
- EUR/USD
- USD/JPY
- USD/CHF
- AUD/USD
- NZD/USD
- Commodities:
Up Down - Crude Oil
- NatGas
- Copper
- Platinum
- Palladium
- Coffee
- Gold
- Silver
- Sugar
- Cotton (Unch.)
- Bonds
- 10-yrs yield is at 3.156%, up from October 29 close of 3.110%;
- 30-years is at 3.396%, up from 3.356%
- 2-years yield is at 2.839%, up from 2.823%
- The 10-Year-&-2-Year spread is at 0.273, up from 0.251
Key Levels:
- Critical support levels for S&P 500 are 2672.45, 2640.54 and 2603.54
- Critical resistance levels for S&P 500 are 2706.85, 2722.70 and 2753.59
- Key levels for eMini futures: break above 2716.00, the low of 3:00 PM on October 25 and break below 2696.25, the low of 5:30 AM
Pre-Open
- On Tuesday, at 4:00 PM, S&P future (December contract) closed at 2683.25 and the index closed at 2682.63 – a spread of about -0.50 points; futures closed at 2685.25 for the day; the fair value is -2.00
- Pre-NYSE session open, futures price action is to the upside – at 8:30 AM, S&P 500 futures were up +21.50; Dow by +182; and NASDAQ by +82.75
Directional Bias Before Open
- Weekly: Uptrend Under Pressure
- Daily: In Correct
- 120-Min: Down-Side
- 30-Min: Side-Up
- 15-Min: Up
- 6-Min: Up
The trend and patterns on various time frames for S&P 500 are:
Monthly |
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Weekly: |
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Daily |
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2-Hour (e-mini future) |
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30-Minute (e-mini future) |
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15-Minute (e-mini future) |
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Previous Session
Major U.S. indices closed higher on Tuesday October 30. The volume was mostly lower from Monday. Dow Jones Industrial Average traded in higher volume.
The indices opened to the upside and the after a brief retreat continued higher and closed at the high for the day. All S&P Sectors were up.
From Briefing.com:
The S&P 500 gained 1.6% in Tuesday’s session, in which it traded mostly in positive territory with all 11 S&P sectors closing higher.
[…]Tuesday’s price action in the S&P 500 oscillated with the volatility in large-cap technology stocks before finally taking a decisive swing upwards in the last hour of trading. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, which had lost as much as 0.7% intraday, closed at its session high with a 1.6% gain.
Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.8%, and the Russell 2000 added 2.0%.
[…]Overseas, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 0.9% on Tuesday, hitting a fresh low for the year, while China’s Shanghai Composite gained 1.0% as the Chinese yuan reached its lowest level since mid 2008. Meanwhile, the Euro Stoxx 50 decreased 0.3% with Germany’s DAX closing 0.4% lower.
- S&P 500 Sectors
Sector | Daily Trend (Visual) | Relative Strength (Last Month) | Relative Strength (Current) |
Consumer Discretionary | Down | XLY | SPY |
Consumer Staples | Under Pressure | SPY | XLP |
Energy | Down | SPY | SPY |
Materials | Down | SPY | SPY |
Industrials | Down | XLI | SPY |
Finance | Down | SPY | XLF |
Technology | Down | XLK | SPY |
Utility | Under Pressure | SPY | XLU |
Heath Care | Under Pressure | XLV | SPY |
Real Estate | Down (Turning Up) | SPY | XLRE |
Telecom | Down | XTL | SPY |
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