Directional Bias For The Day:
- S&P Futures are higher
- The odds are for an up day with a good chance of sideways move from pre-open levels around 4080.00- watch for a break below 4072.50 for a change of sentiments
- Key economic data report due during the day:
- Unemployment Claims ( 744K vs. 682K est.; prev. 719K) at 8:30 AM
Directional Bias Before Open:
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Key Levels:
- Critical support levels for S&P 500 are 4068.14, 4052.99, and 4034.44
- Critical resistance levels for S&P 500 are 4091.95, 4100.77, and 4118.66
- Key levels for E-mini futures: break above 4092.75, the high of 1:45 AM and break below 4078.75, the low of 5:30 AM and break below 4072.50, the low of 7:00 PM
Pre-Open
- On Wednesday at 4:00 PM, S&P futures (June 2021) closed at 4069.50 and the index closed at 4079.95 – a spread of about -10.50 points; futures closed at 4070.00 for the day; the fair value is -0.50
- Pre-NYSE session open, futures are higher – at 8:15 AM, S&P 500 futures were up by +13.00; Dow by +6, and NASDAQ by +108.50
Markets Around The World
- Markets in the East closed mostly higher – Tokyo and Singapore closed lower;
- European markets are mostly higher – Spain and Italy are down
- Currencies (from two weeks ago):
Up Down - EUR/USD
- AUD/USD
- NZD/USD
- USD/CAD
- INR/USD
- Dollar index
- GBP/USD
- USD/JPY
- USD/CHF
- Commodities (from two weeks ago):
- Energy futures are mixed
- Precious metals are higher
- Industrial metals are higher
- Most soft commodities are mixed
- Treasuries (from two weeks ago)
- 10-years yield closed at 1.653%, up +2.9 basis points from two weeks ago;
- 30-years is at 2.335%, up +2.1 basis points;
- 2-years yield is at 0.165%, up +1.3 basis points;
- The 10-Year-&-2-Year spread is at 1.488, up from 1.462
- VIX
- At 17.00 @ 7:45 AM; down from the last close; below 5-day SMA;
- Recent high = 23.55 on March 25; low = 16.87 on April 7
- Sentiment: Risk-On
The trend and patterns on various time frames for S&P 500:
Monthly |
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Weekly: |
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Daily |
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2-Hour (E-mini futures) |
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30-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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15-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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Previous Session
Major U.S. indices closed mostly lower on Wednesday, April 7 in mostly lower volume. S&P 500 and DOw Jones Industrial Average closed higher and Russell 2000 traded in higher volume. Indices moved within a narrow range during the day.
From Briefing.com:
The S&P 500 (+0.2%) eked out a closing record high on Wednesday in another narrow trading session that reflected consolidation activity. The Nasdaq Composite (-0.1%) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (+0.1%) finished within 0.1% of their flat lines, while the Russell 2000 underperformed with a 1.6% decline. […] The cyclical materials (-1.8%) and industrials (-0.4%) sectors finished as laggards, and the 10-yr Treasury note yield was unchanged at 1.65%.
Declining issues also outnumbered advancing issues at the NYSE and Nasdaq,
[…]The 2-yr yield was unchanged at 0.16%. The U.S. Dollar Index increased 0.1% to 92.41. WTI crude futures increased 0.6%, or $0.37, to $59.71/bbl.
[…][…]
- The February Trade Balance report showed a widening in the deficit to $71.1 billion (Briefing.com consensus -$70.5 billion) from an upwardly revised -$67.8 billion (from -$68.2 billion) in January. The widening was the result of exports being $5.0 billion less than January exports, and imports being $1.7 billion less than January imports.
- […]
- Consumer credit increased by $27.6 bln in February after increasing by an upwardly revised $0.1 bln (from -$1.3 bln) in January. This was the largest monthly increase in consumer credit since November 2017.
- […]
- The weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index fell 5.1% following a 2.2% decline in the prior week.
- Russell 2000 +12.6% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average +9.3% YTD
- S&P 500 +8.6% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite +6.2% YTD
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