Directional Bias For The Day:
- S&P Futures are higher
- The odds are for an up to sideways day – watch for a break below 4210.00 and a break below 4191.25 for clarity
- No key economic data report due during the day:
Directional Bias Before Open:
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Key Levels:
- Critical support levels for S&P 500 are 4191.03, 4182.52, and 4170.16
- Critical resistance levels for S&P 500 are 4213.42, 4220.29, and 4236.39
- Key levels for E-mini futures: break above 4210.00, the high of 9:30 AM on Tuesday and break below 4191.25, the low of 2:00 AM
Pre-Open
- On Tuesday at 4:00 PM, S&P futures (June 2021) closed at 4185.75 and the index closed at 4188.13 – a spread of about -2.50 points; futures closed at 4185.50 for the day; the fair value is +0.25
- Pre-NYSE session open, futures are higher – at 8:00 AM, S&P 500 futures were up by +12.75; Dow by +72, and NASDAQ by +61.75
Markets Around The World
- Markets in the East closed mostly higher – Sydney and Seoul closed down; Singapore was closed for trading
- European markets are mostly lower – Switzerland is higher
- Currencies (from two weeks ago):
Up Down - EUR/USD
- GBP/USD
- USD/JPY
- Dollar index
- USD/CHF
- AUD/USD
- NZD/USD
- USD/CAD
- INR/USD
- Commodities (from two weeks ago):
- Energy futures are mixed
- Precious metals are higher
- Industrial metals are lower
- Most soft commodities are mostly lower
- Treasuries (from two weeks ago)
- 10-years yield closed at 1.564%, down -6.0 basis points from two weeks ago;
- 30-years is at 2.260%, down -9.1 basis points;
- 2-years yield is at 0.150%, down -1.1 basis points;
- The 10-Year-&-2-Year spread is at 1.414, down from 1.463
- VIX
- At 18.36 @ 7:45 AM; lower from the last close; below 5-day SMA;
- Recent high = 25.96 on May 19; low = 16.68 on May 7
- Sentiment: Risk-On-Neutral
The trend and patterns on various time frames for S&P 500:
Monthly |
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Weekly: |
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Daily |
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2-Hour (E-mini futures) |
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30-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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15-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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Previous Session
Major U.S. indices closed lower on Tuesday, May 25 in mostly higher volume. NASDAQ Composite traded in lower volume. Indices mostly traded down after the first half-hour of the day.
From Briefing.com:
The S&P 500 decreased 0.2% on Tuesday, fading a positive open, as the market took a breather while investors reassessed the growth outlook. The Nasdaq Composite (-0.03%) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (-0.2%) also closed slightly lower while the Russell 2000 (-1.0%) underperformed with a 1.0% decline. […] The information technology sector (+0.1%), which is more oriented towards growth stocks, increased just 0.1%. The consumer discretionary sector (+0.3%) was the top-performer with a 0.3% gain.
[…]The 2-yr yield remained unchanged at 0.15%. The U.S. Dollar Index decreased 0.2% to 89.69. WTI crude futures settled higher by 0.1%, or $0.05, to $66.07/bbl.
[…][…]
- New home sales declined 5.9% month-over-month in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 863,000 (Briefing.com consensus 980,000) from a downwardly revised 917,000 (from 1.021 million) in March. On a yr/yr basis, new home sales were up 48.3%, having lapped a very depressed comparison period due to the pandemic.
- […]
- The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index checked in at 117.2 in May (Briefing.com consensus 118.0) versus a downwardly revised 117.5 (from 121.7) in April.
- […]
- The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index increased 13.3% yr/yr in March (Briefing.com consensus 12.6%) following a revised 12.0% increase (from +11.9%) in February.
- The FHFA Housing Price Index increased 1.4% m/m in March following a revised 1.1% increase (+0.9%) in February.
- Russell 2000 +11.7% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average +12.1% YTD
- S&P 500 +11.5% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite +6.0% YTD
Overseas:
- Europe: DAX +0.2%, FTSE -0.3%, CAC -0.3%
- Asia: Nikkei +0.7%, Hang Seng +1.8%, Shanghai +2.4%
Commodities:
- Crude Oil +0.15 @ 66.10
- Nat Gas +0.02 @ 2.98
- Gold +14.80 @ 1898.90
- Silver +0.20 @ 28.08
- Copper -0.03 @ 4.51
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