Directional Bias For The Day:
- S&P Futures are lower at 8:00 AM; moving sideways to down since 3:40 AM
- The odds are for a down to sideways day – watch for a break above 4697.50 and a break below 4680.50 for a change of sentiments
- Key economic data report due during the day:
- PPI ( 0.6% est.; prev. 0.5%) at 8:30 AM
- Core PPI ( 0.5% est.; prev. 0.2%) at 8:30 AM
Directional Bias Before Open:
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Key Levels:
- Critical support levels for S&P 500 are 4692.25, 4681.32, and 4667.78
- Critical resistance levels for S&P 500 are 4706.94, 4710.50, and 4724.20
- Key levels for E-mini futures: break above 4697.50, the high of 5:00 AM and break below 4680.00, the low of 10:30 PM
Pre-Open
- On Monday at 4:00 PM, S&P futures (December 2021) closed at 4694.25 and the index closed at 4701.70 – a spread of about -7.50 points; futures closed at 4694.00 for the day; the fair value is -0.25
- Pre-NYSE session open, futures are mostly lower – at 7:45 AM, S&P 500 futures were down by -6.50; Dow down by -88; and NASDAQ up by +10.75
Markets Around The World
- Markets in the East closed mixed – Shanghai, Hong Kong, and Seoul closed higher; Tokyo, Sydney, Mumbai, and Singapore closed lower
- European markets are mostly higher – Italy is down;
- Currencies (Compared to two weeks ago):
Up Down - Dollar index
- NZD/USD
- USD/CAD
- EUR/USD
- GBP/USD
- USD/JPY
- USD/CHF
- AUD/USD
- INR/USD
- Commodities (Compared to two weeks ago):
- Energy futures are lower
- Precious metals are mixed
- Industrial metals are mostly lower
- Soft commodities are mixed
- Treasuries (Compared to two weeks ago)
- 10-years yield closed at 1.497%, down -13.8 basis points from two weeks ago;
- 30-years is at 1.887%, down -19.8 basis points;
- 2-years yield is at 0.443%, up +0.2 basis points;
- The 10-Year-&-2-Year spread is at 1.054, down from 1.194
- The 30-Year-&-10-Year spread is at 0.390, down from 0.450
- VIX
- At 17.26 @ 6:45 AM; up from the last close; above 5-day SMA;
- Recent high = 24.89 on October 1; low = 14.73 on November 4
- Sentiment: Risk-Neutral-Off
The trend and patterns on various time frames for S&P 500:
Monthly |
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Weekly: |
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Daily |
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2-Hour (E-mini futures) |
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30-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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15-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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Previous Session
Major U.S. indices closed higher on Monday, November 8, in lower volume. Major indices opened up at the open but then they mostly traded sideways within a narrow range.
Dow Jones Industrial Average, Russell 2000, and NYSE Composite made all-time closing and intraday highs. S&P 500, NASDAQ Composite, and Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index closed at all-time highs.
From Briefing.com:
The stock market began the week on a quiet note with the S&P 500 (+0.1%) inching toward its intraday record from Friday. The benchmark index climbed for the eighth consecutive day while the Dow (+0.3%) outperformed slightly. […] Growth-sensitive sectors like energy (+0.9%) and materials (+1.2%) got out to an early lead where they remained until the close.
[…]On the downside, the utilities sector (-1.5%) finished just behind the consumer discretionary space (-1.4%).
[…]
Treasuries finished the day on a mostly lower note with the 10-yr yield rising four basis points to 1.50%.
- S&P 500 +25.2% YTD
- Russell 2000 +23.7% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average +19.0% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite +19.0% YTD
Overseas:
- Europe: DAX -0.1%, FTSE -0.1%, CAC +0.1%
- Asia: Nikkei -0.4%, Hang Seng -0.4%, Shanghai +0.2%
Commodities:
- Crude Oil +0.79 @ 82.16
- Nat Gas -0.13 @ 5.50
- Gold +10.70 @ 1827.50
- Silver +0.35 @ 24.54
- Copper +0.07 @ 4.41
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