Directional Bias For The Day:
- S&P Futures are lower at 8:30 AM; mostly moving down since 3:40 AM on Tuesday
- The odds are for a down day – watch for a break above 4680.25 for a change of sentiments
- Key economic data report due during the day:
- CPI ( 0.9% vs. 0.6% est.; prev. 0.4%) at 8:30 AM
- Core CPI ( 0.6% vs. 0.4% est.; prev. 0.2%) at 8:30 AM
- Unemployment Claims ( 267k vs. 257K est.; prev. 271K) at 8:30 AM
Directional Bias Before Open:
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Key Levels:
- Critical support levels for S&P 500 are 4664.29, 4650.50, and 4633.63
- Critical resistance levels for S&P 500 are 4671.30, 4691.32, and 4708.53
- Key levels for E-mini futures: break above 4670.75, the high of 8:00 AM and break below 4658.25, the low of 10:45 PM
Pre-Open
- On Tuesday at 4:00 PM, S&P futures (December 2021) closed at 4678.75 and the index closed at 4685.25 – a spread of about -6.75 points; futures closed at 4678.25 for the day; the fair value is +0.50
- Pre-NYSE session open, futures are lower – at 8:15 AM, S&P 500 futures were down by -8.25; Dow down by -46; and NASDAQ by -59.25
Markets Around The World
- Markets in the East closed mixed – Shanghai, Hong Kong, and Seoul closed higher; Tokyo, Sydney, Mumbai, and Singapore closed lower
- European markets are mostly higher – Italy is down;
- Currencies (Compared to two weeks ago):
Up Down - Dollar index
- NZD/USD
- USD/CAD
- EUR/USD
- GBP/USD
- USD/JPY
- USD/CHF
- AUD/USD
- INR/USD
- Commodities (Compared to two weeks ago):
- Energy futures are lower
- Precious metals are mixed
- Industrial metals are mostly lower
- Soft commodities are mixed
- Treasuries (Compared to two weeks ago)
- 10-years yield closed at 1.497%, down -13.8 basis points from two weeks ago;
- 30-years is at 1.887%, down -19.8 basis points;
- 2-years yield is at 0.443%, up +0.2 basis points;
- The 10-Year-&-2-Year spread is at 1.054, down from 1.194
- The 30-Year-&-10-Year spread is at 0.390, down from 0.450
- VIX
- At 18.21 @ 8:00 AM; up from the last close; above 5-day SMA;
- Recent high = 24.89 on October 1; low = 14.73 on November 4
- Sentiment: Risk-Off
The trend and patterns on various time frames for S&P 500:
Monthly |
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Weekly: |
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Daily |
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2-Hour (E-mini futures) |
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30-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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15-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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Previous Session
Major U.S. indices closed higher on Tuesday, November 9, in mixed volume. S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite traded in lower volume. Major indices declined at the open and then mostly traded sideways to down after 10:00 AM.
From Briefing.com:
The S&P 500 declined 0.4% on Tuesday, snapping an eight-session winning streak amid profit-taking interest and another decline in Treasury yields. The Nasdaq Composite snapped an 11-session winning streak with a 0.6% decline. The Russell 2000 also fell 0.6% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.3%. […] The information technology (-0.4%), financials (-0.6%), health care (-0.4%), and communication services (-0.3%) sectors closed modestly lower, while the six other sectors in the S&P 500 provided offsetting support with 0.3-0.4% gains. The utilities sector (+0.4%) eked out the top spot.
[…]The 2-yr yield fell five basis points to 0.40%, and the 10-yr yield fell seven basis points to 1.43%. The U.S. Dollar Index declined 0.1% to 93.97. WTI crude futures rose 2.7%, or $2.20, to $84.16/bbl.
[…][…]
- The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.6% month-over-month in October (Briefing.com consensus +0.6%) and the index for final demand, less foods and energy, increased 0.4% (Briefing.com consensus +0.4%).
- […]
- The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for October decreased to 98.2 from 99.1 in September.
- S&P 500 +24.7% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite +23.3% YTD
- Russell 2000 +22.9% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average +18.7% YTD
Overseas:
- Europe: DAX flat, FTSE -0.4%, CAC -0.1%
- Asia: Nikkei -0.8%, Hang Seng +0.2%, Shanghai +0.2%
Commodities:
- Crude Oil +1.99 @ 84.15
- Nat Gas -0.44 @ 5.06
- Gold +3.10 @ 1830.60
- Silver -0.24 @ 24.30
- Copper -0.04 @ 4.37
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