Directional Bias For The Day:
- S&P Futures are higher at 9:00 AM; moving within a congestion zone around 4550.00 level
- The odds are for an up day with elevated volatility – watch for a break below 4531.50 for a change of sentiments
- No key economic data report due during the day:
Directional Bias Before Open:
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Key Levels:
- Critical support levels for S&P 500 are 541.60, 4503.97, and 4495.12
- Critical resistance levels for S&P 500 are 4565.00,4608.03, and 4617.47
- Key levels for E-mini futures: break above 4571.75, the high of 4:00 AM and break below 4531.50, the low of 5:30 AM
Pre-Open
- On Friday at 4:00 PM, S&P futures (December 2021) closed at 4537.25 and the index closed at 4538.43 – a spread of about +1.25 points; futures closed at 4537.50 for the day; the fair value is -0.25
- Pre-NYSE session open, futures are mixed – at 8:45 AM, S&P 500 futures were up by +16.00; Dow up by +219; and NASDAQ down by -28.50
Markets Around The World
- Markets in the East closed mixed – Shanghai, Hong Kong, Tokyo, and Mumbai closed lower; Sydney, Seoul, and Singapore closed higher
- European markets are higher
- Currencies (Compared to two weeks ago):
Up Down - Dollar index
- EUR/USD
- USD/CAD
- INR/USD
- GBP/USD
- USD/JPY
- USD/CHF
- AUD/USD
- NZD/USD
- Commodities (Compared to two weeks ago):
- Energy futures are lower
- Precious metals are lower
- Industrial metals are lower
- Soft commodities are mixed
- Treasuries (Compared to two weeks ago)
- 10-years yield closed at 1.377%, down -15.9 basis points from two weeks ago;
- 30-years is at 1.703%, down -20.4 basis points;
- 2-years yield is at 0.595%, up +7.8 basis points;
- The 10-Year-&-2-Year spread is at 0.782, down from 1.019
- The 30-Year-&-10-Year spread is at 0.326, down from 0.371
- VIX
- At 29.70 @ 8:15 AM; down from the last close; above 5-day SMA;
- Recent high = 35.32 on December 3; low = 16.03 on November 16
- Sentiment: Risk-On-Neutral
The trend and patterns on various time frames for S&P 500:
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Weekly: |
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Daily |
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2-Hour (E-mini futures) |
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30-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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15-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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Previous Session
Major U.S. indices closed mostly lower on Friday, December 3, in mixed volume. Dow Jones Transportation Average closed higher. Dow Jones Industrial Average and Transports traded in lower volume. Major indices opened higher but then immediately turned down and traded sharply lower before recouping some of the losses in the last hour of trading.
For the week, major US indices closed lower in higher volume. Markets in Asia and Europe closed mixed. The dollar index was up, most hard commodities were down, and the soft commodities were mixed. The US Treasury yields closed down.
From Briefing.com:
The major averages finished the week on an uninspiring note with the Nasdaq (-1.9%) pacing a daylong retreat while the S&P 500 (-0.8%) and Dow (-0.2%) recorded slimmer losses. The three indices lost a respective 2.6%, 1.2%, and 0.9% for the week. Small caps fared even worse with the Russell 2000 (-2.1%) falling 3.9% for the week.
[…]Eight sectors ended the day in negative territory with three losing 1.0% or more. The consumer discretionary sector (-1.8%) finished at the bottom of the leaderboard, right behind technology (-1.7%) and financials (-1.5%).
[…]Treasuries faced some selling during the first hour of trade, but they reversed higher as stocks surrendered their starting gains. The 10-yr yield fell 11 basis points to 1.34%, reaching its lowest level since late September.
In commodities, crude oil fell $0.26, or 0.4%, to $66.38/bbl, surrendering $1.79, or 2.6% for the week.
[…][…]
- November nonfarm payrolls increased by 210,000 (Briefing.com consensus 525,000). The 3-month average for total nonfarm payrolls decreased to 378,000 from 469,000 in October. October nonfarm payrolls revised to 546,000 from 531,000. September nonfarm payrolls revised to 379,000 from 312,000
- […]
- The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for November increased to a record high 69.1% (Briefing.com consensus 65.0%) from 66.7% in October. The dividing line between expansion and contraction is 50.0%. The November reading marks the 18th straight month of growth for the services sector
- […]
- The IHS Markit Services PMI rose to 58.0 in the final reading for November from 57.0 in the preliminary reading but was down from October’s final reading of 58.7
- Factory orders for manufactured goods increased 1.0% m/m in October (Briefing.com consensus +0.4%) following an upwardly revised 0.5% increase (from 0.2%) in September. Shipments of manufactured goods jumped 2.0% after increasing 1.0% in September
- S&P 500 +20.8% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite +17.1% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average +13.0% YTD
- Russell 2000 +9.3% YTD
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